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Third Quarter 2026 Quarterly Market Update

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Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team (AART) examines themes in global financial markets and presents its investment outlook in this Q3 2026 quarterly market update.

 

Key Takeaways
  • Markets: Markets rebounded and broadened in the second quarter, with gains extending beyond large cap stocks and into small caps, emerging markets, and fixed income.
  • Economy: The global economy remained in a mid-cycle expansion, supported by resilient industrial activity, improving labor markets, and broadening corporate earnings growth.
  • Investments: Strong AI-driven capital spending and positive earnings momentum supported growth stocks, while gold and other precious metals declined as the Fed adopted a more hawkish tone.
  • Valuations: Elevated valuations for AI-linked stocks leave markets open to volatility, while fixed income yields suggest bond valuations are close to long-term averages and may provide solid income as part of a diverse portfolio.

     

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Unless otherwise expressly disclosed to you in writing, the information provided in this material is for educational purposes only. Any viewpoints expressed by Fidelity are not intended to be used as a primary basis for your investment decisions and are based on facts and circumstances at the point in time they are made and are not particular to you. Accordingly, nothing in this material constitutes impartial investment advice or advice in a fiduciary capacity, as defined or under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 or the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, both as amended. Fidelity and its representatives may have a conflict of interest in the products or services mentioned in this material because they have a financial interest in the products or services and may receive compensation, directly or indirectly, in connection with the management, distribution, and/or servicing of these products or services, including Fidelity funds, certain third-party funds and products, and certain investment services. Before making any investment decisions, you should take into account all of the particular facts and circumstances of your or your client's individual situation and reach out to an investment professional, if applicable.

Registered investment products (including mutual funds and ETFs) and collective investment trusts managed by Fidelity Management Trust Company (FMTC) are offered by Fidelity Distributors Company LLC (FDC LLC), a registered broker-dealer. Fidelity Institutional Asset Management (FIAM) investment management services and products are managed by the Fidelity Investments companies of FIAM LLC, a U.S. registered investment adviser, or Fidelity Institutional Asset Management Trust Company, a New Hampshire trust company. FIAM products and services may be presented by FDC LLC, a non-exclusive financial intermediary affiliated with FIAM and compensated for such services.

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Fidelity Investments

Fidelity Institutional offers investment insights, strategies, and solutions as well as trading and prime brokerage services, to a wide range of wealth management firms, asset managers, and institutional investors. Fidelity’s mission is to strengthen the financial well-being of our customers and deliver better outcomes for the clients and businesses we serve. With an AUA of $18.0 trillion, including discretionary assets of $7.1 trillion as of December 31, 2025, we focus on meeting the unique needs of a diverse set of customers. Privately held for 80 years, Fidelity employs 78,000+ associates who are focused on the long-term success of our customers.

William Johnson     
Head of Institutional Large Market Sales     
William.R.Johnson@fmr.com     
773-454-4100

245 Summer Street
Boston, MA 02210

 

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