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The Beat: High Yield Market Monitor – Q1 2026

Abstract pink and orange wave lines representing Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s Q1 2026 high yield market monitor.

Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s High Yield Market Monitor provides a Q1 2026 review of the U.S. and European high yield markets through performance data, market snapshots, issuance trends, fundamentals, valuations, default rates, CLOs and the broader case for high yield bonds.

This report highlights a market that continues to offer meaningful yield, shorter duration and differentiated return potential, even as quarterly performance was modestly negative across both U.S. and European high yield. It also shows how credit quality, industry exposure, default expectations and market technicals continue to shape the opportunity set for investors.

Key Takeaways

  • U.S. high yield ended Q1 2026 with a yield to worst of 7.44%, a spread to worst of 349 basis points and an effective duration of 3.13 years.
  • European high yield ended the quarter with a USD-hedged yield to worst of 7.51%, a EUR-hedged yield to worst of 6.20%, and a spread to worst of 367 basis points.
  • Q1 performance was negative but contained, with the U.S. high yield index returning -0.55% and the European high yield index returning -1.18%.
  • Lower-quality credit generally lagged, with CCC-rated U.S. high yield returning -2.21% for the quarter.
  • Default rates remained below long-term stress levels, with the U.S. high yield default rate at 2.1% in March 2026 and the European high yield default rate at 3.1%.
  • High yield continues to offer a potential combination of higher yield, lower duration and lower correlation to core bond allocations.

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Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s Insurance Solutions team proudly supports our insurance clients with bespoke investment solutions and a comprehensive range of strategies that align well with insurers’ investment objectives and risk tolerances. We provide risk-based capital efficient solutions across public and private market strategies, and add value through thought leadership across insurance research, portfolio management, strategic asset allocation, reporting, risk management, and rating agency/regulatory considerations.

Joel Cramer, CFA
Managing Director, Head of North American Insurance Solutions
joel.cramer@morganstanley.com
Office: 312 706 4216
Mobile: 630 222 6765
 
1585 Broadway,
New York, NY 10036

 

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